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shortie062 shortie062
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7 years ago
 Baye's Theorem can create some very important but counter-intuitive results.  Do some research about drug/medical testing and Baye's Theorem to explain the following true statement:


"A certain disease occurs in the general population with a 1 in 100,000 rate.  A test can detect the presence of the disease and is 99.9% accurate.  A person takes the test and is found to have the disease.  However, there is only about a 1% chance that the person actually has the disease!  How can this be?"
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#1
Staff Member
7 years ago
See if this helps Slight Smile
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shortie062 Author
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#2
7 years ago
Great response! How would the statement above be true?
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