There are two gumball machines outside the local grocery store, one large machine and one small machine. Both machines have only yellow and orange gumballs, and each machine contains 50 percent of each color. For each coin, the large gumball machine dispenses 15 gumballs, while the small machine dispenses 5 . Tim is a young genius whose interests include probability and sound decision-making. His probability project of the day is to get a greater percentage of either of the colors, but not an equal amount of each color. Given this, and presuming Tim has only one coin,
a. he should use his coin in the large machine.
b. he should use his coin in the small machine.
c. it doesn't make a difference which machine he uses.
d. he should wait for other people to use the machines and see what they get.
Question 2Imagine that your friend James has just taken up the habit of smoking cigars because he thinks it makes him look cool. You are concerned about the detrimental effects of smoking on his health, and you raise that concern to him. James gets a bit annoyed with your criticism and says George Burns smoked cigars, and he lived to be 100 You might point out that a major problem with his George Burns argument involves
a. framing.
b. the conjunction rule.
c. sample size.
d. none of these
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