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drewster127 drewster127
wrote...
Posts: 380
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4 years ago
Use the table for the question(s) below.

Suppose the term structure of interest rates is shown below:

Term1 year2 years3 years5 years10 years20 years
Rate (EAR%)5.00%4.80%4.60%4.50%4.25%4.15%


After examining the yield curve, what predictions do you have about interest rates in the future?  About future economic growth and the overall state of the economy?
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Fundamentals of Corporate Finance

Fundamentals of Corporate Finance


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wrote...
4 years ago
This is an inverted yield curve, which implies that interest rates should be falling in the future.  An inverted yield curve is often interpreted as a negative forecast for economic growth.  Since each of the last six recessions in the United States were proceeded by a period with an inverted yield curve it could be a leading indicator of a future recession.
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