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Peregrinus Peregrinus
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6 years ago
Suppose that a country has two types of workers—young workers and older workers.  Young workers make up 10 percent of the labor force and normally have a group unemployment rate of 15 percent.  Older workers comprise the rest of the labor force and normally have a group unemployment rate of 5 percent.  What is the country's natural rate of unemployment?  If twenty years earlier, the country experienced a baby boom such that the labor force composition of young workers now jumps to 20 percent, what is the country's new natural rate of unemployment? Comment on your calculations.
Textbook 
Modern Labor Economics: Theory and Public Policy

Modern Labor Economics: Theory and Public Policy


Edition: 12th
Authors:
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6 years ago
Initially, the natural rate of unemployment is 6 percent = [(.10 × 15%) + (.90 × 5%)].  Given the influx of young workers into the labor force as a result of the baby boom twenty years earlier, the country's natural rate of unemployment rises to 7 percent = [(.20 × 15%) + (.80 × 5%)] .  The calculations in this problem illustrate how demographic composition determines in part a country's natural rate of unemployment.  Even though the two scenarios reflected no change in underlying labor market conditions, a shift in the composition of the country's labor force toward younger, less experienced workers caused a significant increase in the natural rate.
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